Sunday, April 05, 2009

Coming Asian Conflicts

It’s been generally a bit slow around here lately when it comes to original pieces. I have a great deal on my plate in my private life, and so most of my effort and writing has gone into work/school. I will look to get back into the cycle next week.

In the meantime, Michael Auslin has an excellent piece in Foreign Policy Magazine concerning the coming hegemonic rifts in Asia, a topic I write a great deal about in my academic life. He writes:
Simply put, without the Japanese strategic and political base, the United States may find itself less able to play a flexible and effective role in providing stability, public goods, and humanitarian aid in the Asia-Pacific region.

Some will welcome that development, believing that America should cede its position to Asian actors who will shape the region according to their own visions. Yet it is a leap of faith to believe that any vacuum caused by a diminished U.S. role in Asia (with or without Japanese retrenchment) will be smoothly filled. Even absent aggressive policies on the part of the region's countries, miscalculation and distrust might well lead to tragic outcomes. In that sense, Japan remains the lynchpin of the U.S. position in Asia as well as a powerful voice for democratic governance, civil rights, and peaceful national policies
.”
I find that those who claim this financial crisis has spelled the end of American unipolarity fail to see the large gap between our nation’s wealth and ability to project power, but that does not mean that the US will be committed to its presence in Asia forever. Those who have argued that the US presence in Asia is to cause for many of its hardships will likely have their theory tested when China, Japan, and Russia all vie for top dog in the neighbourhood, and something tells me the lack of the American military in Asia will not further the cause of peace.

1 comment:

That moron Greywolf you love to growl at said...

Those who have argued that the US presence in Asia is to cause for many of its hardships will likely have their theory tested when China, Japan, and Russia all vie for top dog in the neighbourhood, and something tells me the lack of the American military in Asia will not further the cause of peace.Something tells me you're right there. For all the recriminations and frictions between them, the US, Japan and South Korea need each other and the peoples of all three nations recognize that the benefits of their military alliance far outweigh the costs and sacrifices.